Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 March 2026 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,121
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU28.0%-1.0
- SPD26.0%-7.0
- AfD19.0%+10.0
- Grüne9.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+3.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Mar 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,121 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Mar 2021, AfD gains 10.0 points, SPD loses 7.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 28.0
- CDU -1.0average 29.0
- Grüne +1.0average 8.0
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 4.5
- AfD ±0average 19.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU31
- SPD29
- AfD21
- Grüne10
- Linke5
- Freie Wähler5
- CDU + SPD60 of 101
- CDU + AfD52 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Grüne60 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Linke55 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler55 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.