Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 March 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,735
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD33.0%±0
- CDU29.0%±0
- Grüne10.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP6.5%-0.5
- Freie Wähler5.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others4.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Mar 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,735 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Mar 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.0 points higher and Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 31.0
- Grüne -1.8average 11.8
- FDP -1.3average 7.8
- AfD -0.5average 9.5
- Linke +0.4average 2.6
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 4.7
- CDU ±0average 29.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD36
- CDU32
- Grüne11
- AfD10
- FDP7
- Freie Wähler5
- SPD + CDU68 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + AfD57 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + FDP54 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP53 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + AfD53 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler52 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.