Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 March 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

State
Rhineland-Palatinate
Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
1 to 4 Mar 2021
Respondents
998
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Feb 2021.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 998 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Feb 2021, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.5 points higher and CDU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.5average 30.5
  • CDU -1.5average 30.5
  • Grüne -1.0average 12.0
  • FDP -0.5average 7.5
  • AfD ±0average 9.0
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 4.0
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

SPD: 38 seatsCDU: 33 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • SPD38
  • CDU33
  • Grüne12
  • AfD10
  • FDP8
  • SPD + CDU71 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP58 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + FDP56 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD55 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP53 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP51 of 101
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