Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 March 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 4 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 998
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD33.0%+2.0
- CDU29.0%-4.0
- Grüne11.0%-2.0
- AfD9.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Feb 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 998 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Feb 2021, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.5 points higher and CDU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 30.5
- CDU -1.5average 30.5
- Grüne -1.0average 12.0
- FDP -0.5average 7.5
- AfD ±0average 9.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 4.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD38
- CDU33
- Grüne12
- AfD10
- FDP8
- SPD + CDU71 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + FDP58 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP56 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + AfD55 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + FDP53 of 101
- CDU + AfD + FDP51 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.