Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 February 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
1 to 4 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,022
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU33.0%
  • SPD31.0%
  • Grüne13.0%
  • AfD7.0%
  • FDP5.0%
  • Linke4.0%
  • Others7.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 1,022 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.0 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.0average 29.0
  • Grüne -1.5average 14.5
  • AfD -1.5average 8.5
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
  • CDU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 37 seatsSPD: 35 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 8 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU37
  • SPD35
  • Grüne15
  • AfD8
  • FDP6
  • CDU + SPD72 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne52 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD58 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP56 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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