Pollster and election
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen on the Thuringia state election
5 polls since 17 October 2019, the latest from 29 August 2024 for ZDF-Politbarometer. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD -11.0 and BSW +11.0.
- AfD29.0%-1.0
- CDU23.0%±0
- BSW18.0%+1.0
- Linke13.0%-1.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Grüne4.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
29.0%
-1.0
AfD
23.0%
±0
CDU
18.0%
+1.0
BSW
13.0%
-1.0
Linke
6.0%
±0
SPD
4.0%
±0
Grüne
7.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2024.
Trend
All Forschungsgruppe Wahlen figures for the Thuringia state election
Accuracy
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 1 Sep 2024 (poll 29 Aug 2024)1.3 ptsbiggest miss AfD -3.8
- Election 27 Oct 2019 (poll 24 Oct 2019)2.0 ptsbiggest miss CDU +4.2
Archive
All 5 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | BSW | Linke | SPD | Grüne | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2024 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Aug 2024 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9 Aug 2024 | 30 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 24 Oct 2019 | 21 | 26 | – | 28 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Oct 2019 | 20 | 26 | – | 27 | 9 | 8 | 5 |