Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 October 2019 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 24 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,177
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Linke28.0%+1.0
- CDU26.0%±0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD9.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Oct 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,177 people were surveyed from 23 to 24 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Oct 2019, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 2.7 points lower and CDU 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.7average 23.7
- CDU +2.4average 23.6
- Linke -1.1average 29.1
- SPD +0.6average 8.4
- Grüne -0.5average 7.5
- FDP +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- Linke26
- CDU24
- AfD19
- SPD8
- Grüne6
- FDP5
- Linke + CDU50 of 88
- Linke + AfD45 of 88
- CDU + AfD + SPD51 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Grüne49 of 88
- CDU + AfD + FDP48 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.