Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 October 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 Oct 2019
Respondents
1,004
Method
Telefonisch
  • Linke27.0%
  • CDU26.0%
  • AfD20.0%
  • SPD9.0%
  • Grüne8.0%
  • FDP5.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 3.4 points lower and CDU 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.4average 23.4
  • CDU +2.3average 23.7
  • Linke -0.8average 27.8
  • FDP +0.7average 4.3
  • SPD +0.5average 8.5
  • Grüne -0.4average 8.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 25 seatsCDU: 24 seatsAfD: 19 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke25
  • CDU24
  • AfD19
  • SPD8
  • Grüne7
  • FDP5
  • Linke + CDU49 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD52 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD51 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne50 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP49 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + FDP48 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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