Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 August 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,015
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD30.0%+9.0
- CDU21.0%-5.0
- BSW19.0%
- Linke15.0%-13.0
- SPD7.0%-2.0
- Grüne3.0%-4.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Oct 2019.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,015 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 24 Oct 2019, Linke loses 13.0 points, AfD gains 9.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 2.5 points higher and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.5average 12.5
- AfD +1.5average 28.5
- CDU -1.5average 22.5
- BSW -1.5average 20.5
- Grüne -1.0average 4.0
- SPD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD29
- CDU20
- BSW18
- Linke14
- SPD7
- AfD + CDU49 of 88
- AfD + BSW47 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke52 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD50 of 88
- CDU + BSW + SPD45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.