Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 August 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,859
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%-1.0
- CDU23.0%±0
- BSW18.0%+1.0
- Linke13.0%-1.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Grüne4.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,859 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +1.0average 22.0
- Linke -0.9average 13.9
- Grüne +0.9average 3.1
- BSW -0.5average 18.5
- AfD -0.4average 29.4
- SPD -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD28
- CDU23
- BSW18
- Linke13
- SPD6
- AfD + CDU51 of 88
- AfD + BSW46 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke54 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD47 of 88
- CDU + BSW + SPD47 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.