Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 18 March 2022 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
15 to 17 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,024
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD39.0%+7.0
  • CDU30.0%-7.0
  • Grüne6.0%+1.5
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • Linke4.0%-8.5
  • Others10.0%+6.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Mar 2017.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,024 people were surveyed from 15 to 17 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Mar 2017, Linke loses 8.5 points, SPD gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 7.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.3average 36.7
  • Linke -0.8average 4.8
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • CDU -0.3average 30.3
  • AfD -0.3average 6.3
  • Grüne ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 24 seatsCDU: 18 seatsFDP: 3 seatsGrüne: 3 seatsAfD: 3 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • SPD24
  • CDU18
  • FDP3
  • Grüne3
  • AfD3
  • SPD + CDU42 of 51
  • SPD + FDP27 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne27 of 51
  • SPD + AfD27 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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