Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 September 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,395
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD37.0%+3.0
- AfD36.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- CDU6.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Sep 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 37.0%, followed by AfD on 36.0%. 1,395 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 Sep 2026, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 5.5 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +5.5average 31.5
- Linke -1.5average 10.5
- CDU -1.5average 7.5
- AfD -1.0average 37.0
- Grüne -0.3average 5.3
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD28
- AfD27
- Linke7
- CDU5
- Grüne4
- SPD + AfD55 of 71
- SPD + Linke + CDU40 of 71
- SPD + Linke + Grüne39 of 71
- AfD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
- AfD + Linke + Grüne38 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne37 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.