Single poll
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 September 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,053
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 34.0%. 1,053 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Sep 2021, AfD gains 21.0 points, CDU loses 7.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD 3.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 31.0
- CDU -1.3average 8.3
- AfD +1.0average 36.0
- Linke -1.0average 11.0
- Grüne ±0average 5.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD28
- SPD26
- Linke8
- CDU5
- Grüne4
- AfD + SPD54 of 71
- AfD + Linke36 of 71
- SPD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
- SPD + Linke + Grüne38 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne37 of 71
More
More polls
← Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 23 Sep 2021Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 17 Sep 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSunday question Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania2025 federal election in Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.