Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 22 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,015
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD39.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- CDU14.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%+1.0
- FDP5.5%-0.5
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Sep 2021.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 1,015 people were surveyed from 20 to 22 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 Sep 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.3average 17.3
- Grüne +1.1average 5.9
- FDP -0.8average 6.3
- CDU +0.7average 13.3
- SPD -0.5average 39.5
- Linke +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD30
- AfD12
- CDU11
- Linke9
- Grüne5
- FDP4
- SPD + AfD42 of 71
- SPD + CDU41 of 71
- SPD + Linke39 of 71
- SPD + Grüne + FDP39 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.