Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
13 to 16 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,028
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD38.0%
  • AfD17.0%
  • CDU15.0%
  • Linke11.0%
  • FDP6.0%
  • Grüne6.0%
  • Others7.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 38.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,028 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.0average 13.0
  • SPD -1.3average 39.3
  • AfD -0.7average 17.7
  • Linke +0.3average 10.7
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
  • Grüne -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 29 seatsAfD: 13 seatsCDU: 11 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD29
  • AfD13
  • CDU11
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • Grüne5
  • SPD + AfD42 of 71
  • SPD + CDU40 of 71
  • SPD + Linke37 of 71
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne39 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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