Pollster and election
Forsa on the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
21 polls since 15 March 2017, the latest from 23 September 2026 for Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Kölnische Rundschau. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forsa has AfD +2.5 and CDU -1.5. House effect since 23 Sep 2024: AfD +2.9, SPD -2.5, CDU -1.9.
- CDU29.0%-3.0
- AfD22.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+2.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-2.0
29.0%
-3.0
CDU
22.0%
+2.0
AfD
18.0%
+1.0
Grüne
14.0%
±0
SPD
8.0%
+2.0
Linke
3.0%
±0
FDP
6.0%
-2.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forsa poll of 22 Apr 2026.
Trend
All Forsa figures for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
Accuracy
Forsa before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 15 May 2022 (poll 4 May 2022)1.5 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.7
- Election 14 May 2017 (poll 28 Apr 2017)1.7 ptsbiggest miss CDU -4.0
Archive
All 21 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | Grüne | SPD | Linke | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 23 Sep 2026 | 29 | 22 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 22 Apr 2026 | 32 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| Forsa | 9 Jul 2025 | 38 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Forsa | 12 Dec 2024 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Forsa | 5 Aug 2024 | 40 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 27 Mar 2024 | 37 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Forsa | 16 Jun 2023 | 37 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 30 Mar 2023 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 3 Feb 2023 | 36 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 30 Sep 2022 | 36 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 4 May 2022 | 32 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Forsa | 13 Apr 2022 | 30 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| Forsa | 16 Mar 2022 | 32 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| Forsa | 9 Feb 2022 | 29 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| Forsa | 15 Dec 2021 | 27 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
| Forsa | 19 May 2021 | 25 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 7 |
| Forsa | 10 Apr 2020 | 39 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| Forsa | 17 Aug 2019 | 29 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Forsa | 25 Feb 2018 | 34 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| Forsa | 28 Apr 2017 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
| Forsa | 15 Mar 2017 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 5 | 11 | 5 |