Forsa poll of 17 August 2019 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 16 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU29.0%-5.0
- Grüne24.0%+14.0
- SPD18.0%-6.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,505 people were surveyed from 1 to 16 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018, Grüne gains 14.0 points, SPD loses 6.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 7.0 points higher and SPD 5.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +7.0average 17.0
- SPD -5.0average 23.0
- AfD -2.0average 9.0
- CDU -1.0average 30.0
- FDP -1.0average 12.0
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU56
- Grüne46
- SPD35
- FDP21
- AfD13
- Linke10
- CDU + Grüne102 of 181
- CDU + SPD91 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + FDP102 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + AfD94 of 181
- Grüne + SPD + Linke91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.