Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 February 2018 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
8 to 22 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU34.0%+5.0
  • SPD24.0%-11.0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • Grüne10.0%+4.0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 22 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2017, SPD loses 11.0 points, CDU gains 5.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 4.0 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -4.0average 28.0
  • FDP +2.0average 10.0
  • AfD -2.0average 9.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 9.0
  • CDU ±0average 34.0
  • Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 66 seatsSPD: 46 seatsFDP: 23 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsLinke: 14 seatsAfD: 13 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU66
  • SPD46
  • FDP23
  • Grüne19
  • Linke14
  • AfD13
  • CDU + SPD112 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne108 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Linke103 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD102 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke99 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD98 of 181
  • CDU + Linke + AfD93 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.