Single poll

Forsa poll of 28 April 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Express
Fieldwork period
20 to 25 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,018
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD35.0%-5.0
  • CDU29.0%+3.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Mar 2017.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,018 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Express.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Mar 2017, SPD loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 3.2 points higher and AfD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +3.2average 8.8
  • AfD -2.3average 9.3
  • SPD -1.4average 36.4
  • CDU -1.1average 30.1
  • Linke +0.5average 5.5
  • Grüne -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 67 seatsCDU: 56 seatsFDP: 23 seatsAfD: 13 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 11 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD67
  • CDU56
  • FDP23
  • AfD13
  • Grüne11
  • Linke11
  • SPD + CDU123 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD103 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne101 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Linke101 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD92 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne91 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Linke91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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