Single poll

Forsa poll of 15 March 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL / Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger
Fieldwork period
20 Feb 2017 to 10 Mar 2017
Respondents
1,040
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD40.0%
  • CDU26.0%
  • FDP11.0%
  • AfD7.0%
  • Grüne6.0%
  • Linke5.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 40.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 20 Feb 2017 to 10 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL / Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 3.7 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.7average 29.7
  • SPD +3.0average 37.0
  • AfD -3.0average 10.0
  • FDP +2.7average 8.3
  • Grüne -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 76 seatsCDU: 50 seatsFDP: 21 seatsAfD: 13 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 10 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD76
  • CDU50
  • FDP21
  • AfD13
  • Grüne11
  • Linke10
  • SPD + CDU126 of 181
  • SPD + FDP97 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne100 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Linke99 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke97 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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