Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 April 2020 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Express
Fieldwork period
6 to 8 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,084
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU39.0%+10.0
  • SPD20.0%+2.0
  • Grüne15.0%-9.0
  • FDP8.0%-3.0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Aug 2019.

In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,084 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Express.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Aug 2019, CDU gains 10.0 points, Grüne loses 9.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 7.5 points higher and Grüne 7.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +7.5average 31.5
  • Grüne -7.0average 22.0
  • AfD -2.5average 8.5
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • Linke +0.5average 5.5
  • SPD ±0average 20.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 75 seatsSPD: 38 seatsGrüne: 29 seatsFDP: 15 seatsLinke: 12 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU75
  • SPD38
  • Grüne29
  • FDP15
  • Linke12
  • AfD12
  • CDU + SPD113 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne104 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Linke102 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD102 of 181
  • CDU + Linke + AfD99 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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