Single poll
Forsa poll of 19 May 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,058
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,058 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Apr 2020, CDU loses 14.0 points, Grüne gains 11.0 points, FDP gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 1.5 points lower and AfD 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.5average 26.5
- AfD -1.5average 8.5
- FDP +1.0average 11.0
- Linke +0.2average 3.8
- Grüne ±0average 26.0
- SPD ±0average 19.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne53
- CDU51
- SPD39
- FDP24
- AfD14
- Grüne + CDU104 of 181
- Grüne + SPD92 of 181
- CDU + SPD + FDP114 of 181
- CDU + SPD + AfD104 of 181
- Grüne + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More
More polls
← Forsa, 10 Apr 2020Forsa, 15 Dec 2021 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.