Forsa poll of 15 December 2021 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Nov 2021 to 7 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD27.0%+8.0
- CDU27.0%+2.0
- Grüne17.0%-9.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2021.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 26 Nov 2021 to 7 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2021, Grüne loses 9.0 points, SPD gains 8.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 4.7 points higher and SPD 3.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +4.7average 22.3
- SPD -3.7average 30.7
- FDP -1.8average 13.8
- Grüne +1.7average 15.3
- AfD -0.8average 7.8
- Linke +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD55
- CDU54
- Grüne34
- FDP24
- AfD14
- SPD + CDU109 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP113 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + FDP112 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD103 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD102 of 181
- SPD + FDP + AfD93 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.