Forsa poll of 9 February 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Jan 2022 to 2 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU29.0%+2.0
- SPD27.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%-3.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Dec 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 26 Jan 2022 to 2 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Dec 2021, FDP loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.2 points higher and FDP 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.2average 14.8
- FDP -2.0average 11.0
- AfD -1.3average 8.3
- CDU +1.0average 28.0
- SPD -0.7average 27.7
- Linke +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU59
- SPD54
- Grüne36
- FDP18
- AfD14
- CDU + SPD113 of 181
- CDU + Grüne95 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP108 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD104 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.