Forsa poll of 16 March 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 9 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU32.0%+3.0
- SPD27.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- AfD6.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Mar 2022, method Unbekannt, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2022, CDU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 3.5 points higher and FDP 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.5average 28.5
- FDP -2.5average 10.5
- SPD -2.3average 29.3
- Grüne +1.5average 15.5
- AfD -1.2average 7.2
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU65
- SPD54
- Grüne34
- FDP16
- AfD12
- CDU + SPD119 of 181
- CDU + Grüne99 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP104 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD93 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.