Single poll

Forsa poll of 13 April 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
NRW-Tageszeitungen
Fieldwork period
4 to 11 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,821
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD30.0%+3.0
  • CDU30.0%-2.0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • Linke2.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Mar 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,821 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Mar 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points higher and Linke 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.2average 15.8
  • Linke -1.7average 3.7
  • CDU +1.2average 28.8
  • SPD -1.0average 31.0
  • AfD -0.7average 6.7
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 59 seatsCDU: 59 seatsGrüne: 35 seatsFDP: 16 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD59
  • CDU59
  • Grüne35
  • FDP16
  • AfD12
  • SPD + CDU118 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne94 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne94 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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