Forsa poll of 4 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 26 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU32.0%+2.0
- SPD28.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- AfD6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Apr 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Apr 2022, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.5 points lower and CDU 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.5average 30.5
- CDU +2.1average 29.9
- FDP -2.0average 9.0
- Grüne +1.1average 15.9
- AfD -0.8average 6.8
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU65
- SPD56
- Grüne34
- FDP14
- AfD12
- CDU + SPD121 of 181
- CDU + Grüne99 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP104 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD102 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.