Forsa poll of 30 September 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 26 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,511
- Method
- Online
- CDU36.0%+4.0
- SPD21.0%-7.0
- Grüne20.0%+3.0
- AfD9.0%+3.0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 May 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,511 people were surveyed from 21 to 26 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 May 2022, SPD loses 7.0 points, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 6.3 points lower and Grüne 3.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -6.3average 27.3
- Grüne +3.2average 16.8
- CDU +3.0average 33.0
- AfD +2.3average 6.7
- FDP -2.3average 7.3
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU71
- SPD42
- Grüne40
- AfD18
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD113 of 181
- CDU + Grüne111 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
- CDU + AfD + FDP99 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.