Forsa poll of 3 February 2023 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 NRW
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 31 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU36.0%±0
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Sep 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 23 to 31 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 NRW.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Sep 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 3.0 points higher and Grüne 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.0average 33.0
- Grüne -2.7average 20.7
- SPD -1.2average 23.2
- AfD -0.8average 8.8
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- Linke +0.7average 2.3
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU73
- SPD45
- Grüne37
- AfD16
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD118 of 181
- CDU + Grüne110 of 181
- CDU + AfD + FDP99 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD98 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + FDP92 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.