Forsa poll of 30 March 2023 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- FUNKE NRW Redaktionsgesellschaft
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 28 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU38.0%+2.0
- SPD20.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD8.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Feb 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 27 to 28 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE NRW Redaktionsgesellschaft.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Feb 2023, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 5.0 points higher and Grüne 3.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +5.0average 33.0
- Grüne -3.7average 20.7
- SPD -3.2average 23.2
- Linke +1.7average 2.3
- AfD -0.8average 8.8
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU78
- SPD41
- Grüne35
- AfD17
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD119 of 181
- CDU + Grüne113 of 181
- CDU + AfD95 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD93 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.