Forsa poll of 16 June 2023 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 May 2023 to 7 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Online
- CDU37.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-3.0
- AfD13.0%+5.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Mar 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 29 May 2023 to 7 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Mar 2023, AfD gains 5.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 4.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +4.0average 9.0
- Grüne -3.0average 17.0
- FDP -2.0average 7.0
- CDU +1.0average 36.0
- SPD -1.0average 22.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU75
- SPD42
- Grüne28
- AfD26
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD117 of 181
- CDU + Grüne103 of 181
- CDU + AfD101 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD96 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.