Single poll
Forsa poll of 27 March 2024 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 14 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Online
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 5 to 14 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jun 2023, SPD loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.0 points lower and SPD 2.8 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.0average 16.0
- SPD -2.8average 18.8
- CDU +2.7average 34.3
- Grüne -1.3average 17.3
- FDP -0.8average 4.8
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU82
- SPD35
- Grüne35
- AfD29
- CDU + SPD117 of 181
- CDU + Grüne117 of 181
- CDU + AfD111 of 181
- SPD + Grüne + AfD99 of 181
More
More polls
← Forsa, 16 Jun 2023Forsa, 5 Aug 2024 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.