Forsa poll of 5 August 2024 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- General-Anzeiger Bonn
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,060
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU40.0%+3.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Linke1.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Mar 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,060 people were surveyed from 23 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by General-Anzeiger Bonn.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Mar 2024, CDU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 3.0 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.0average 19.0
- Grüne -3.0average 17.0
- CDU +2.0average 38.0
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU84
- SPD33
- Grüne29
- AfD25
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD117 of 181
- CDU + Grüne113 of 181
- CDU + AfD109 of 181
- CDU + FDP94 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.