Pollster and election
Forsa on the Lower Saxony state election
10 polls since 6 May 2017, the latest from 16 February 2023 for Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forsa has AfD -11.0 and SPD +7.0.
- SPD33.0%+2.0
- CDU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
33.0%
+2.0
SPD
26.0%
-1.0
CDU
17.0%
-2.0
Grüne
10.0%
+1.0
AfD
5.0%
±0
FDP
3.0%
±0
Linke
6.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forsa poll of 28 Sep 2022.
Trend
All Forsa figures for the Lower Saxony state election
Accuracy
Forsa before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 9 Oct 2022 (poll 28 Sep 2022)1.7 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +4.5
Archive
All 10 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | Grüne | AfD | FDP | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 16 Feb 2023 | 33 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 28 Sep 2022 | 31 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 30 Aug 2022 | 29 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 30 Jun 2022 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 3 May 2022 | 33 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 30 Mar 2022 | 34 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 4 Jun 2020 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Forsa | 11 Feb 2019 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 25 Feb 2018 | 33 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| Forsa | 6 May 2017 | 36 | 35 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 |