Forsa poll of 28 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 21 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 2,018
- Method
- Online
- SPD31.0%+2.0
- CDU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-3.0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Aug 2022.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 2,018 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 17.6
- SPD -1.3average 32.3
- CDU -1.1average 28.1
- AfD +1.0average 8.0
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- Linke -0.6average 3.6
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD47
- CDU40
- Grüne28
- AfD13
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU87 of 135
- SPD + Grüne75 of 135
- CDU + Grüne68 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.