Single poll

Forsa poll of 30 August 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen
Fieldwork period
16 to 23 Aug 2022
Respondents
2,000
Method
Online
  • SPD29.0%-1.0
  • CDU26.0%±0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 2.7 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.7average 28.7
  • Grüne +2.0average 20.0
  • AfD +1.7average 6.3
  • FDP -1.3average 7.3
  • SPD -0.3average 29.3
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 43 seatsCDU: 38 seatsGrüne: 33 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD43
  • CDU38
  • Grüne33
  • AfD12
  • FDP9
  • SPD + CDU81 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne76 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne71 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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