Single poll

Forsa poll of 30 June 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen
Fieldwork period
14 to 22 Jun 2022
Respondents
2,009
Method
Online
  • SPD30.0%-3.0
  • CDU26.0%±0
  • Grüne22.0%+3.0
  • AfD7.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 14 to 22 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 May 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.5 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.5average 19.5
  • SPD -1.5average 31.5
  • CDU -1.5average 27.5
  • AfD +1.0average 6.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 44 seatsCDU: 39 seatsGrüne: 33 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD44
  • CDU39
  • Grüne33
  • AfD10
  • FDP9
  • SPD + CDU83 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne77 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne72 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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