Single poll

Forsa poll of 3 May 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen
Fieldwork period
19 to 26 Apr 2022
Respondents
2,012
Method
Online
  • SPD33.0%-1.0
  • CDU26.0%+1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+2.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Mar 2022.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 2,012 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Mar 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.0 points higher and FDP 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.0average 17.0
  • FDP -2.0average 9.0
  • SPD -1.0average 34.0
  • AfD -0.5average 6.5
  • CDU ±0average 26.0
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 49 seatsCDU: 39 seatsGrüne: 28 seatsFDP: 10 seatsAfD: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD49
  • CDU39
  • Grüne28
  • FDP10
  • AfD9
  • SPD + CDU88 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne77 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP77 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + AfD68 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.