Single poll

Forsa poll of 30 March 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen
Fieldwork period
15 to 22 Mar 2022
Respondents
2,010
Method
Online
  • SPD34.0%+4.0
  • CDU25.0%-7.0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+3.0
  • AfD7.0%+2.0
  • Linke3.0%-3.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jun 2020.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jun 2020, CDU loses 7.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 2.0 points lower and FDP 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 27.0
  • FDP -1.5average 9.5
  • AfD +0.7average 6.3
  • SPD +0.5average 33.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 16.5
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 51 seatsCDU: 37 seatsGrüne: 25 seatsFDP: 12 seatsAfD: 10 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD51
  • CDU37
  • Grüne25
  • FDP12
  • AfD10
  • SPD + CDU88 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne76 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP74 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + AfD73 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD72 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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