Forsa poll of 16 February 2023 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 8 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- SPD33.0%+2.0
- CDU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Sep 2022.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Niedersächsische Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Sep 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.0average 28.0
- Grüne +0.9average 16.1
- Linke -0.5average 3.5
- SPD +0.2average 32.8
- AfD ±0average 10.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD49
- CDU39
- Grüne25
- AfD15
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne74 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD79 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP71 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.