Forsa poll of 11 February 2019 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 8 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,010
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU30.0%-3.0
- SPD28.0%-5.0
- Grüne17.0%+7.0
- AfD8.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018, Grüne gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.5 points lower and CDU 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.5average 20.5
- CDU +2.5average 27.5
- AfD -2.5average 10.5
- SPD +2.0average 26.0
- FDP -1.0average 8.0
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU43
- SPD40
- Grüne24
- AfD11
- FDP10
- Linke7
- CDU + SPD83 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD78 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP77 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + AfD75 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + Linke74 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + FDP74 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + Linke71 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.