Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 February 2018 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
8 to 22 Feb 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD33.0%-3.0
  • CDU33.0%-2.0
  • Grüne10.0%+2.0
  • FDP8.0%+2.0
  • Linke6.0%+2.0
  • AfD6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 May 2017.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 33.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 22 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 May 2017, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.6average 7.6
  • Grüne +1.2average 8.8
  • Linke +1.2average 4.8
  • CDU -1.0average 34.0
  • FDP -0.8average 8.8
  • SPD -0.4average 33.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 47 seatsCDU: 47 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsFDP: 11 seatsLinke: 8 seatsAfD: 8 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD47
  • CDU47
  • Grüne14
  • FDP11
  • Linke8
  • AfD8
  • SPD + CDU94 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP72 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP72 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke69 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD69 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke69 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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