Pollster and election
Forsa on the Brandenburg state election
7 polls since 10 November 2017, the latest from 11 January 2024 for RTL / n-tv. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forsa has AfD -3.5 and Linke -3.5.
- AfD32.0%+15.0
- SPD22.0%-6.0
- CDU16.0%+2.0
- Grüne7.0%-4.0
- Linke6.0%-5.0
- BVB/FW5.0%-3.0
- BSW4.0%
- FDP3.0%-3.0
- Others5.0%±0
32.0%
+15.0
AfD
22.0%
-6.0
SPD
16.0%
+2.0
CDU
7.0%
-4.0
Grüne
6.0%
-5.0
Linke
5.0%
-3.0
BVB/FW
4.0%
BSW
3.0%
-3.0
FDP
5.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forsa poll of 20 Dec 2021.
Trend
All Forsa figures for the Brandenburg state election
Accuracy
Forsa before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 1 Sep 2019 (poll 9 Aug 2019)3.5 ptsbiggest miss SPD -9.2
Archive
All 7 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | SPD | CDU | Grüne | Linke | BVB/FW | BSW | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 11 Jan 2024 | 32 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Forsa | 20 Dec 2021 | 17 | 28 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 8 | – | 6 | 5 |
| Forsa | 20 Dec 2020 | 16 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 6 | – | 4 | 4 |
| Forsa | 26 Feb 2020 | 18 | 22 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 7 | – | 3 | 6 |
| Forsa | 9 Aug 2019 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 4 | – | 5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 1 Jan 2019 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 17 | – | – | 5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 10 Nov 2017 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 18 | – | – | 5 | 6 |