Forsa poll of 26 February 2020 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Märkische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 25 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD22.0%+5.0
- AfD18.0%-3.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- Linke15.0%+1.0
- CDU14.0%-4.0
- BVB/FW7.0%+3.0
- FDP3.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Aug 2019.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 22.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Märkische Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Aug 2019, SPD gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.1 points lower and CDU 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.1average 21.1
- CDU -2.4average 16.4
- BVB/FW +2.3average 4.7
- FDP -2.0average 5.0
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- Linke +0.9average 14.1
- SPD -0.1average 22.1
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD21
- AfD17
- Grüne15
- Linke14
- CDU14
- BVB/FW7
- SPD + AfD + Grüne53 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke52 of 88
- SPD + AfD + CDU52 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke50 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + CDU50 of 88
- SPD + Linke + CDU49 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke46 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + CDU46 of 88
- SPD + AfD + BVB/FW45 of 88
- AfD + Linke + CDU45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.