Forsa poll of 9 August 2019 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Märkische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Jul 2019 to 5 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,009
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- CDU18.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%-3.0
- Grüne16.0%+4.0
- Linke14.0%-3.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BVB/FW4.0%
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 25 Jul 2019 to 5 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Märkische Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jan 2019, Grüne gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.6average 15.6
- SPD -1.1average 18.1
- CDU +0.9average 17.1
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- BVB/FW +0.5average 3.5
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- Grüne +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD20
- CDU17
- SPD16
- Grüne16
- Linke14
- FDP5
- AfD + CDU + SPD53 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne53 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne52 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke51 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + Linke50 of 88
- CDU + SPD + Grüne49 of 88
- CDU + SPD + Linke47 of 88
- CDU + Grüne + Linke47 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.