Forsa poll of 20 December 2020 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Märkische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 15 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD23.0%+1.0
- CDU20.0%+6.0
- AfD16.0%-2.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- Linke12.0%-3.0
- BVB/FW6.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Feb 2020.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 10 to 15 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Märkische Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Feb 2020, CDU gains 6.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.3 points lower and CDU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.3average 19.3
- CDU +2.0average 18.0
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- BVB/FW +0.8average 5.2
- SPD -0.3average 23.3
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- Linke -0.2average 12.2
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD22
- CDU19
- AfD15
- Grüne14
- Linke12
- BVB/FW6
- SPD + CDU + AfD56 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne55 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke53 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke49 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke48 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Grüne48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW47 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Linke46 of 88
- CDU + Grüne + Linke45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.