Forsa poll of 20 December 2021 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Märkische Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 17 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,008
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD28.0%+5.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- CDU14.0%-6.0
- Grüne11.0%-4.0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- BVB/FW8.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%+2.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Dec 2020.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 9 to 17 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Märkische Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Dec 2020, CDU loses 6.0 points, SPD gains 5.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 5.0 points lower and CDU 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -5.0average 33.0
- CDU +3.0average 11.0
- Linke +3.0average 8.0
- Grüne +2.2average 8.8
- AfD -1.3average 18.3
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
- BVB/FW -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD26
- AfD16
- CDU13
- Grüne10
- Linke10
- BVB/FW7
- FDP6
- SPD + AfD + CDU55 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Grüne52 of 88
- SPD + AfD + Linke52 of 88
- SPD + AfD + BVB/FW49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke49 of 88
- SPD + AfD + FDP48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW46 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + Linke46 of 88
- SPD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.