Pollster and election
Forsa on the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
13 polls since 18 January 2018, the latest from 2 September 2026 for Ostsee-Zeitung. Against the current average of all pollsters, Forsa has SPD -4.6 and CDU +2.8. House effect since 17 Sep 2024: BSW -1.7, SPD -1.2, AfD +1.2.
- AfD37.0%±0
- SPD28.0%+5.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- CDU10.0%-3.0
- Grüne5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
37.0%
±0
AfD
28.0%
+5.0
SPD
11.0%
±0
Linke
10.0%
-3.0
CDU
5.0%
+1.0
Grüne
4.0%
-1.0
BSW
5.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Forsa poll of 19 Feb 2026.
Trend
All Forsa figures for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
Accuracy
Forsa before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 20 Sep 2026 (poll 2 Sep 2026)3.3 ptsbiggest miss SPD -7.5
Archive
All 13 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | SPD | Linke | CDU | Grüne | BSW | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 2 Sep 2026 | 37 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Forsa | 19 Feb 2026 | 37 | 23 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 7 Feb 2025 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| Forsa | 15 May 2024 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| Forsa | 19 Jan 2024 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 26 Jan 2023 | 21 | 27 | 12 | 18 | 9 | – | 9 |
| Forsa | 24 Mar 2022 | 16 | 34 | 12 | 16 | 7 | – | 10 |
| Forsa | 21 Jan 2021 | 14 | 26 | 16 | 24 | 10 | – | 7 |
| Forsa | 16 Jan 2020 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 20 | 13 | – | 10 |
| Forsa | 27 Sep 2019 | 20 | 22 | 12 | 21 | 12 | – | 8 |
| Forsa | 17 Jan 2019 | 18 | 22 | 16 | 22 | 10 | – | 8 |
| Forsa | 30 Jun 2018 | 22 | 25 | 16 | 18 | 8 | – | 7 |
| Forsa | 18 Jan 2018 | 19 | 28 | 15 | 20 | 5 | – | 8 |