Single poll

Forsa poll of 24 March 2022 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Ostsee-Zeitung
Fieldwork period
14 to 18 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD34.0%+8.0
  • AfD16.0%+2.0
  • CDU16.0%-8.0
  • Linke12.0%-4.0
  • Grüne7.0%-3.0
  • FDP5.0%+2.0
  • Others10.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jan 2021.

In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jan 2021, SPD gains 8.0 points, CDU loses 8.0 points, Linke loses 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 2.5 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.5average 9.5
  • CDU -2.0average 18.0
  • AfD -1.5average 17.5
  • SPD +1.0average 33.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 8.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 27 seatsAfD: 13 seatsCDU: 13 seatsLinke: 9 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsFDP: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD27
  • AfD13
  • CDU13
  • Linke9
  • Grüne5
  • FDP4
  • SPD + AfD40 of 71
  • SPD + CDU40 of 71
  • SPD + Linke36 of 71
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP36 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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