Forsa poll of 26 January 2023 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Ostsee-Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 23 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%-7.0
- AfD21.0%+5.0
- CDU18.0%+2.0
- Linke12.0%±0
- Grüne9.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2022.
In this poll Forsa has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Mar 2022, SPD loses 7.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.0 points lower and Linke 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.0average 24.0
- Linke +2.5average 9.5
- CDU +2.0average 16.0
- Grüne -1.5average 10.5
- SPD -0.5average 27.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD22
- AfD17
- CDU15
- Linke10
- Grüne7
- SPD + AfD39 of 71
- SPD + CDU37 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Linke42 of 71
- SPD + Linke + Grüne39 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.