Single poll
Forsa poll of 19 January 2024 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Ostsee-Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Jan 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ostsee-Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Jan 2023, AfD gains 10.0 points, SPD loses 6.0 points, Linke loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.3 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 23.3
- Grüne +1.2average 6.8
- AfD -1.0average 32.0
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- CDU +0.2average 17.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD24
- SPD17
- CDU14
- Grüne6
- Linke6
- BSW4
- AfD + SPD41 of 71
- AfD + CDU38 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne37 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke37 of 71
- AfD + Grüne + Linke36 of 71
More
More polls
← Forsa, 26 Jan 2023Forsa, 15 May 2024 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSunday question Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania2025 federal election in Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.